25+ years delivering deterministic and probabilistic risk analysis across aerospace, marine, defence, pharmaceutical, and energy sectors. Clear insights for complex decisions.
Core Disciplines
FMEA / FMECA, RBD modelling, MTBF prediction, Fault Tree Analysis, Weibull analysis, Markov models, and Monte Carlo simulation to quantify risk and guide design decisions.
System Safety Assessments, Functional Hazard Assessments, Preliminary System Safety Assessments, and Event Tree Analysis aligned to ARP 4761, DEF-STAN, and IEC standards.
Through-life support strategy, maintenance planning, spares optimisation (Poisson modelling), obsolescence management, and ARM case reporting per ASD S2000M and DEF-STAN 00-600.
Whole-life reliability, availability, maintainability, and supportability modelling for complex systems — from initial concept through in-service lifecycle management.
Probability of Sufficiency (POS) sparing, statistical confidence analysis, physics-of-failure modelling, and Arrhenius degradation models for novel materials and environments.
FDA 21 CFR, EU MDR, EASA CS-27/CS-25, IEC 60601-1, ISO 26262, EN 50126 — bridging engineering evidence with regulatory requirements across multiple international frameworks.
Selected Achievements
"Delivered FMECA and Fault Tree Analysis for the Ariane 6 ASTRIS kick-stage avionics under accelerated timelines — safety artefacts enabling continued programme progression."
"Led a comprehensive dependability strategy for an immunomodulatory therapy device, integrating FDA 21 CFR, EU MDR, and IEC 60601-1:2024 from concept through clinical deployment."
"Conducted FHA, PSSA, and SSA for Rolls-Royce Lean Burn combustion fuel valve systems — influencing design changes ahead of initial test flight through evidence-based safety assessment."
"Providing ILS consultancy for a 90m Singapore Navy Offshore Patrol Vessel — establishing early and through-life support strategy aligned with ASD S2000M naval operational requirements."
"Facilitated EN 50126 RAMS lifecycle activities across multi-site teams for the CORADIA Nordic X61, providing whole-life cost assurance aligned with IEC 60812 and IEC 61508 principles."
"Delivered airworthiness safety analysis for a novel all-carbon fibre helicopter under EASA CS-27, bridging startup innovation with established regulatory frameworks."
Career Record
Sector Reach
Broad cross-sector experience means analytical rigour from one domain routinely yields insight in another — clients benefit from that accumulated perspective.
Beyond the Programmes
The same probabilistic thinking that underpins reliability engineering — Weibull distributions, confidence intervals, failure-rate modelling — translates naturally into forecasting and market analysis. These platforms explore that extension: rigorous, evidence-based reasoning applied beyond the drawing board.
In-depth content extending engineering probability theory into practical forecasting — covering statistical methodology, analytical frameworks, and the discipline of thinking clearly under uncertainty.
Over 1,200 published ideas applying probabilistic and forecasting methods to markets — where the same rigour used to assess system reliability is brought to price behaviour and risk.
Let's Talk
Whether you need reliability analysis, safety assurance, ILS strategy, or regulatory alignment — I welcome enquiries from across the engineering spectrum.